Possible scenario
Bank Credit Readthrough
30% Chance
The market links Bank of America's miss to the recent rise in US loan delinquencies to a 2010 high. Investors mark down major consumer-lending banks on concerns that credit costs will keep moving higher into late 2026.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.8%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
- BAC-4.4%
- WFC-1.5%
- SYF-0.9%
- COF-0.7%
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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