Opposition Forms Government

45%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Netanyahu’s warning proves accurate and the anti-Netanyahu bloc wins enough seats to replace Likud. Yair Lapid, Benny Gantz, and smaller centrist or right-leaning partners move quickly to present a governing majority, reducing the risk of a prolonged constitutional fight.

What it moves

Industrials−0.2%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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