Possible scenario
Campaign Reset Holds
45% Chance
Talarico's proof-of-life photo is accepted by most Texas Democrats and major state reporters as sufficient evidence that he is safe and still campaigning. Paxton's line of attack loses force, and the Senate race returns to familiar terrain: ethics, abortion, immigration, and national Democratic ties.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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