Possible scenario
Oil Majors Prevail
32% Chance
A substantial conservative majority could conclude that state climate-damages suits improperly regulate interstate and global emissions. Such a decision would materially reduce litigation overhang for oil majors and weaken state and municipal climate-liability campaigns.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +2.1%
Tickers
- XOM+3.7%
- CVX+3.3%
- SU+2.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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