Possible scenario
Emergency Response Expanded
40% Chance
Jakarta partially reverses budget cuts and redirects contingency funds to water-bombing, peatland rewetting and provincial firefighting teams. This is the most likely path because haze has already crossed borders and respiratory cases are politically costly for President Prabowo Subianto.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.1%
- Healthcare -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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