Possible scenario
Repeat Technical Problems
15% Chance
A less likely but important downside case is that the disruption recurs, suggesting the initial fix did not fully address the network fault. Even if trading remains mostly orderly, repeated problems would pressure Nasdaq's reputation with broker-dealers, market makers, and listed companies.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.7%
- Technology -0.5%
Tickers
- NDAQ-3.9%
- CBOE+0.6%
- ICE+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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