Possible scenario
Watchlist Limbo Persists
30% Chance
MSCI acknowledges Indonesia's corrective steps but says the market still has excessive concentration and investability issues. This leaves foreign investors cautious, with trading focused on likely inclusion and exclusion candidates rather than a broad market recovery.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials -0.2%
- Telecommunications -0.2%
- Energy -0.2%
- Finance -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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