Possible scenario
MSCI Reprieve Holds
45% Chance
MSCI accepts Indonesia Stock Exchange measures to reduce the weight of concentrated and low-free-float stocks. Indonesia remains in the MSCI Emerging Markets framework, limiting forced selling and allowing local regulators to present the move as a market-quality fix.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.5%
- Telecommunications +0.3%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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