Possible scenario
Aave Approves Integration
45% Chance
Aave governance moves forward with Babylon Labs' proposal after risk reviews conclude native Bitcoin collateral can reduce wrapped-token dependency without materially increasing protocol risk. The rollout is phased with caps, oracle safeguards, and conservative loan-to-value parameters.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- CRCL+2.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.