Nominal Mission Progress

The most likely path is that JAXA's Martian Moons eXploration mission clears early commissioning and proceeds toward Mars with only routine adjustments. This would validate Japan's recovery from the 2023 H3 failure and keep the Phobos sample-return plan broadly on schedule.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.