Possible scenario
Crackdown Contains Protests
35% Chance
The government uses large police deployments, targeted curfews near campuses, and rapid prosecutions to reduce street clashes. Most high schools and universities reopen within days, though student unions continue calling demonstrations against the 2027 budget savings plan.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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