Possible scenario
Contempt Finding Narrowed
45% Chance
The most likely path is that the appellate court gives meaningful weight to the U.S. government's position and narrows the contempt finding against Apple. Judges may conclude that Apple's compliance was imperfect but that contempt was too strong or procedurally unsupported.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.5%
- Consumer Services -0.2%
Tickers
- AAPL+2.7%
- SPOT-1.1%
- MTCH-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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