Possible scenario
Imports Accelerate
30% Chance
China leans more heavily on imports after the September output decline, especially given recent purchases of 10 million tons of U.S. coal under the trade deal. Indonesian, Australian, Mongolian and U.S. suppliers see stronger near-term demand while Chinese utilities face higher fuel costs.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.8%
- Utilities -0.4%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Tickers
- BTU+1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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