Possible scenario
Operational Risks Surface
15% Chance
The first cold-storage implementation exposes practical issues around redemptions, corporate actions, settlement timing, or wallet controls. A serious failure is less likely than smooth operation, but even a contained incident would test confidence in tokenized equities.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- NDAQ-0.3%
- COIN+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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