Possible scenario
Workable Custody Framework
40% Chance
The SEC proposal is interpreted as a long-awaited formal framework rather than a de facto block on crypto fund activity. Investment advisers, ETF sponsors, and qualified custodians push for clarifications, but the market views the rulemaking as legitimizing institutional crypto custody after the FTX-era gap.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.4%
- Technology +0.2%
Tickers
- COIN+3.6%
- +0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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