Possible scenario
Enforcement Contained
42% Chance
The most likely outcome is a contained legal fight over the seized funds and EQIBank’s status rather than an immediate systemic stablecoin event. US agencies keep pressure on Tether-linked banking channels, but Tether maintains redemptions and its dollar peg.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Tickers
- CRCL+1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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