Possible scenario
Choppy Flows Persist
40% Chance
The most likely path is continued back-and-forth ETF demand as investors react to recent Bitcoin volatility and profit-taking after the prior inflow rebound. The $257.7 million outflow is meaningful but still looks like a flow reversal rather than a structural exit from spot Bitcoin products.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Tickers
- MARA-0.6%
- MSTR-0.5%
- RIOT-0.5%
- COIN-0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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