Possible scenario
Negligence Case Advances
42% Chance
Police and prosecutors focus on criminal negligence by the school owner and management, supported by the earlier pattern of misleading safety compliance claims. This is the most likely path because authorities have already made an arrest and will seek a visible legal response after 29 deaths.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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