Possible scenario
Collins Narrowly Wins
44% Chance
Collins holds a small but durable edge built on incumbency, crossover appeal, and her public breaks with Donald Trump. Jackson keeps the race close by consolidating labor, rural Democrats, and anti-Trump voters, but falls short in the final count.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Energy +0.2%
- Healthcare +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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