Possible scenario
Forecast Partly Reversed
25% Chance
Weather models shift colder after the initial NOAA update, reducing confidence that El Niño will sharply cut winter gas burn. Gas prices recover part of their decline as traders refocus on the storage build miss.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.7%
- Utilities -0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.1%
Tickers
- EQT+2.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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