Possible scenario
Operational Setbacks Emerge
25% Chance
Early operational missions expose reliability, reusability, or regulatory issues that slow Starship's rollout. The program remains strategically important, but the path to routine V3 deployment becomes less linear.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.8%
- Telecommunications -0.4%
Tickers
- SPCX-4.0%
- VSAT+1.6%
- RKLB+1.5%
- IRDM+0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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