Economic Containment Package

The Camp David meeting produces a tougher but still controlled strategy: Treasury sanctions, interdictions of Iranian supply networks, and expanded naval escorts rather than direct attacks on Iran. This is the most likely path because Trump has already shifted toward economic pressure while advisers have warned that an Iran war could last through the end of his term.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.