Possible scenario
Probe Broadens
25% Chance
Investigators focus less on the immediate employment decision and more on whether the alleged $250,000 car loan payment request, the earlier $100,000 Amex request, and private jet travel formed a broader pattern. The White House delays a final decision while State Department lawyers and ethics officials gather documents.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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