Possible scenario
Guilfoyle Removed
45% Chance
The White House concludes the allegations have become politically untenable and removes Kimberly Guilfoyle from her post or obtains her resignation. This is the most likely path because the timeline now includes multiple reported payment requests, a State Department probe, and presidential consideration of firing her.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.