Possible scenario
Implementation slips
25% Chance
Audit findings, wallet readiness gaps, or testnet performance issues push the mainnet implementation beyond January. The delay is manageable, but it weakens the near-term credibility of the 70% asset-protection target.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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