Possible scenario
Price Resistance Bites
25% Chance
The negative case is that the launch confirms investor concerns about high pricing and incomplete software readiness. At $2,000, even Apple’s loyal base may wait for a second-generation foldable or a carrier-subsidized promotion.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
Tickers
- AAPL-4.7%
- GOOG+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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