Possible scenario
Authorities Cap Gains
25% Chance
Korean authorities become more vocal as the won's appreciation threatens exporter competitiveness. The Ministry of Economy and Finance and the Bank of Korea lean against one-way positioning, but avoid emergency action because market conditions remain orderly.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.2%
- Industrials +0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
- Technology
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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