Possible scenario
Tether Angle Broadens
15% Chance
The Tether connection could become the central line of attack if lawmakers frame Lutnick's income as tied to crypto reserves, stablecoin oversight, or conflicts in digital-asset policy. This would be a sector-specific crypto event with limited spillover to conventional markets.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.