Possible scenario
Accord Becomes Standard
38% Chance
The morally binding accord becomes the practical U.S. AI governance framework because Google, OpenAI, Meta and Anthropic all comply publicly. Federal agencies and large enterprise customers use the accord's audit language as a procurement screen, making voluntary commitments function like soft regulation.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.7%
- Technology +0.7%
Tickers
- META+1.5%
- MSFT+0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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