Possible scenario
Judicial Reckoning Broadens
40% Chance
The most likely path is a broader legal and institutional review after nearly all London rate-rigging convictions are deemed wrongly reached. The Court of Appeal, Criminal Cases Review Commission, Serious Fraud Office and Crown Prosecution Service face pressure to explain how so many cases survived for years.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- C-0.2%
- UBS-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.