Possible scenario
Selloff Extends
30% Chance
The rout continues as investors conclude that AI chip valuations moved too far ahead of earnings and cash-flow visibility. The trigger is not a systemic market crisis, but a sector-level repricing of growth assumptions, capex timing, and margins.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.2%
- Industrials -0.3%
Tickers
- NVDA-5.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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