Possible scenario
Containment Gains
35% Chance
The most likely favorable path is that Congo, WHO, MSF and Africa CDC use ring vaccination, mobile labs and protected treatment corridors to slow transmission over the next several weeks. Deaths continue to rise because of lagging mortality, but new suspected cases begin to fall in key health zones.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
- Healthcare +0.1%
Tickers
- +0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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