Possible scenario
Plea Talks Begin
15% Chance
As the abuse narrative complicates the prosecution’s trial risk, both sides quietly explore a negotiated resolution. Any deal would likely depend on whether prosecutors are willing to reduce charges from murder to manslaughter or another lesser homicide offense.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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