Possible scenario
Quiet Wind-Down
42% Chance
The most likely outcome is that the effort to prosecute prominent Trump adversaries loses momentum after producing no charges and losing key prosecutors. Career lawyers and supervisory officials narrow or shelve the files rather than take weak cases to grand juries.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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