Possible scenario
New Prosecutor Push
25% Chance
DOJ leadership could respond to the lack of charges by replacing departed prosecutors and trying to restart the files. This would extend the political fight, but weak evidence and grand-jury skepticism would still limit the chance of major indictments.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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