Possible scenario
Demand Doubts Reprice
20% Chance
The rally begins to undermine physical demand as buyers delay purchases and Chinese industrial indicators soften. In this path, the Deutsche Bank call is treated as late-cycle bullishness rather than a fresh catalyst.
Initial impacts
- Copper Down
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials -1.8%
- Industrials -0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.9%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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