Possible scenario
Hearing Without Ban
35% Chance
Senate Banking Democrats secure a public hearing, but Republicans keep the process focused on disclosure, conflicts of interest, and market integrity rather than an outright shutdown. This is the most likely outcome because Kalshi has a favorable court ruling and GOP lawmakers appear open to engaging with the company.
Tickers
- IBKR-0.3%
- HOOD+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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