Possible scenario
Tax Survives Parliament
45% Chance
The committee vote becomes the core position for the lower house, with the government accepting the levy as part of a broader revenue package after the earlier budget setback. The measure remains controversial but survives because it is framed as closing a tax-deferral loophole rather than creating a new wealth tax.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-1.4%
- -1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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