Possible scenario
Tax Gets Diluted
30% Chance
The committee vote opens negotiations rather than determining the final text. Lawmakers preserve a revenue-raising measure but soften the treatment of stablecoins, professional market makers, or small retail transactions to reduce conflict with EU crypto rules.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- CRCL+0.8%
- COIN+0.7%
- +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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