Possible scenario
Modest Texas Relief
45% Chance
Abbott's disaster declaration and the on-road use of dyed diesel ease the most acute Texas supply pressure without changing the national diesel balance. Truck stops and distributors get some flexibility, but refinery outages and Russia's export ban keep prices historically high.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
- Industrials +0.3%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.2%
Tickers
- VLO-0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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