Possible scenario
Senate stalemate persists
45% Chance
The most likely path is that the CLARITY Act remains blocked after failing to reach the 60-vote Senate threshold. Brian Armstrong's rejection of blame keeps attention on lobbying tactics, but it does not immediately change the vote math.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.4%
- Technology -0.2%
Tickers
- COIN-3.9%
- -2.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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