Possible scenario
Agencies fill vacuum
15% Chance
If Congress remains stuck, the Trump administration may push regulators to clarify crypto oversight through agency guidance or rulemaking. This could either calm markets or create a fresh SEC-CFTC jurisdictional dispute.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Tickers
- COIN+0.5%
- HOOD+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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