Possible scenario
Negotiated Partial Access
28% Chance
A compromise is plausible because the court may want to preserve jurisdiction without fully blocking planning work. The administration could preserve its Nov. 15 political timetable while agreeing to limit physical changes until further review.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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