Possible scenario
Nomination Advances Narrowly
45% Chance
The White House proceeds with Eric Ueland as its preferred choice for a senior GAO watchdog role, but the process stays inside normal Senate and congressional channels. Given GAO's statutory independence and recent ruling against the Trump administration's $810 million funding cut, lawmakers are likely to demand public assurances rather than immediately derail the pick.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- BAH+0.2%
- LDOS+0.1%
- +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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