Possible scenario
Delays Limit Supply
25% Chance
Investors conclude that the 1 million-ton target is aspirational because permitting, community consultation and infrastructure constraints remain unresolved. Copper gives back little of its record rally, and Peruvian-exposed miners underperform global copper peers.
Initial impacts
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.4%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- SCCO-1.5%
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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