Possible scenario
Ossoff Lead Holds
54% Chance
Jon Ossoff remains the clear favorite as Democratic-leaning early ballots continue to arrive at elevated levels. VoteHub and other forecasters keep Georgia in the Democratic column, reinforcing Democrats' path to holding the Senate.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.3%
- Healthcare -0.3%
- Utilities +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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