Possible scenario
Buyers Stabilize Market
25% Chance
Dip buyers step in if policymakers signal that one inflation print is not enough to restart hikes. A sharp fall in volatility and modest pullback in yields could allow high-quality growth and defensives to recover.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- US dollar Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology +2.1%
- Healthcare +1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+1.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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