Possible scenario
Trump TV Gains
20% Chance
The White House uses the coverage gap to build a direct-to-voter media channel. Legacy networks lose some agenda-setting power in the short run, while pro-Trump digital platforms benefit from traffic and investor attention.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Telecommunications -0.3%
- Technology +0.2%
Tickers
- RUM+1.9%
- DJT+1.1%
- CMCSA-0.4%
- +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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