Possible scenario
Scope Tightens Again
18% Chance
Some lawmakers attempt to broaden the base again by limiting the NFT and DeFi exemptions or by taxing more wallet-mediated activity. This is less likely than a narrow bill, but budget pressure could revive arguments for a wider taxable base.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-0.5%
- -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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