Possible scenario
Narrow Tax Advances
45% Chance
Illinois lawmakers keep the 0.2% levy but narrow it to centralized exchange transactions, leaving NFTs and most DeFi outside the base. This is the most likely path because it preserves a first-of-its-kind revenue measure while reducing opposition from crypto developers and collectors.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Tickers
- COIN+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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